CBD office rents on the up

Bowen Campus, Wellington

Prime Auckland CBD office rents expected to increase by up to 5 per cent a year

Prime office rents in Auckland’s CBD are expected to rise by up to 5 per cent a year until more supply becomes available in 2020, according to new forecasts from Colliers International.The latest Colliers Essentials reports offer snapshots of the CBD office markets in Auckland and Wellington.

The research shows prime office vacancy in Auckland CBD has decreased for the first time in almost three years, to 3.5 per cent.

Secondary vacancy has increased to 8.1 per cent, but is still well below the long-term average.

Chris Dibble, Director of Research and Communications at Colliers International, says the squeeze on space will contribute to ongoing rent increases.

“Prime net rents in Auckland’s CBD are forecast to increase from an average of $478 per square metre in June 2018 to $561 in June 2023 – an increase of 17.4 per cent over the next five years.

“Secondary net rents are forecast to increase more slowly, by 7.5 per cent over the next five years, from an average of $265 to $285 per square metre.

“This represents an overall average net rental growth of between 3 to 5 per cent a year in the coming few years – at least until more supply comes online in 2020.”

Some 95,981sq m of new office space is forecast to be developed over the next five years, representing 6.6 per cent of the current total floor space.

However, Dibble warns this is unlikely to satisfy occupier demand over the long-term. 

In Wellington, CBD office rents are also forecast to increase despite new stock on the horizon.

“New gross rental benchmarks are being achieved with limited tenant incentives due to a strong occupier demand environment,” Dibble says.

“Average prime gross rents are forecast to increase by 12.9 per cent over the next five years, from $498 to $562 per square metre.

“The average secondary gross rent is also likely to climb by about 7.8 per cent, from $260 to $280 per square metre.”

Office space in Wellington’s CBD remains tight, even with the completion of two new prime office buildings, adding another 25,180sq m, and two major office refurbishments, adding 16,430sq m.

More office space is coming, with Precinct Properties announcing two more buildings at the Bowen Campus, to be completed in late 2021, which will add some 22,000sq m to Wellington’s prime office stock.

Dibble says yields continue to firm and sale activity remains buoyant in both main centres, due to a low interest rate environment, boosted by offshore activity.

In Auckland, major transactions have included Precinct Properties’ sale of 50 per cent of the ANZ Centre for $181 million to Invesco, and Goodman’s sale of the VXV office portfolio at Wynyard Quarter for $635m to Blackstone, for a yield of 6.6 per cent.

Both sales are subject to Overseas Investment Office approval.

In Wellington, offshore investor Credit Suisse purchased the HSBC Tower at 195 Lambton Quay for $102.5m. This was the second office asset over $100m to sell to an offshore purchaser in 2018.

Yields in Wellington’s CBD office market have firmed a further 25 basis points compared with a year ago. 

However, seismic issues remain a focus for any occupier and investor in Wellington.

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Chris Dibble

Director | Research & Communications

Auckland CBD

Chris Dibble oversees the delivery of award-winning research reports, PR and Communications for Colliers International New Zealand. With over 13 years of experience and university qualifications in economics, geography, marketing and property, Chris has a  multi-disciplinary approach that assists a broad range of clients in their strategic decision making. Chris is a regular presenter and market commentator with an extensive network of media contacts to discuss the latest insights on current and future property trends. Chris also works with in-house and external writers to curate an audience-focused content delivery strategy for Colliers.

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